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TheDukeJ's Nightly Elo/Fantasy Predictions - The NA Finals!

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TheDukeJ #1 Posted Jan 26 2017 - 02:23

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The DukeJ's Elo Fantasy Picks

 

Tl;DR:

Annnnnndddd. It's time. The finals are here and we should be up for some great matches tonight.
 

Current Elo's

 

For the most part we have to throw this out the window today. It's the finals and the environment if dramatically different. What we can hold on to is the fact that Apex is miles ahead above of everyone. Apex is dominant. Not only that - they are experienced, they've been to so many live finals that the environment should not phase them at all. Everyone else is pretty evenly matched which should make for some great games!

 

Predictions:

 

Elevate vs Top Tier.

Unfortunately, I don't think that Top Tier can pull it off. The last time they played the score was 5-0 in favor of Elevate. This time Top Tier is down Pompous which will hurt them. Can Top Tier take matches of Elevate? I think so (Note: The fact that I'm asking myself this question in the finals says something about Elevate). But I don't think they can win.

 

Dare vs Eclipse.

This should be an excellent match. Both teams are experienced. They are both fighting for Moscow. They are evenly skilled. It should be a 5-4 in one way or another.

Finals Match Permutations and Likelihood:
 

Elevate - Eclipse  ~~45%

Elevate - Dare ~~35%

TopTier  - Eclipse ~~10%

TopTier - Dare ~~5%

 

Of these the matches with Eclipse and Dare will probably go the longest.

 

 

Fantasy Picks:

 

Eclipse and Dare will have the longest matches. So gotta pick two from each.

From eClipse I'm grabbing Nonick and Drawk. Both are underrated players who I think should shine tonight. Ledif might be a great pick. But he's going to be so heavily picked and I want a Type so I'm taking a risk and not taking him.

 

Dare -- 
Here I'm going to take MLP and Derjil. Derj is underrated again but an awesome performer.

From Elevate I'm going to take two also - Ox cause you just gotta take ox, and External. See a theme here? Other awesome but underpicked player.

 

For my last pick, I think i'm going to go to Top Tier. i'm a little worried about them because of their loss of Pompous, but some of the there players should still bring in points. For that player, I am going with Xits. Again good PPB but underpicked.


 


Edited by TheDukeJ, Apr 08 2017 - 20:10.


Get_Clicked_On #2 Posted Jan 26 2017 - 08:34

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View PostTheDukeJ, on Jan 25 2017 - 19:23, said:


 

^ my own spreadsheet has this same thought. 



Masterpupil #3 Posted Jan 27 2017 - 01:29

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Eclispe

TheDukeJ #4 Posted Jan 27 2017 - 01:32

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View PostMasterpupil, on Jan 27 2017 - 00:29, said:

Eclispe

 

Awkward

TheDukeJ #5 Posted Jan 31 2017 - 22:53

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TheDukeJ #6 Posted Feb 02 2017 - 22:07

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TheDukeJ #7 Posted Feb 07 2017 - 22:54

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TheDukeJ #8 Posted Feb 10 2017 - 01:26

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ninjagumby #9 Posted Feb 10 2017 - 05:10

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Block Quote

I do not agree with NinjaGumby that this is the fantasy match of the night. I just do not trust o7 one bit.

 

I trusted in Apex to win more than I trusted o7 to not lose. I don't know if the extra game really paid off or not for me though. 



TheDukeJ #10 Posted Feb 10 2017 - 05:14

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View Postninjagumby, on Feb 10 2017 - 04:10, said:

 

I trusted in Apex to win more than I trusted o7 to not lose. I don't know if the extra game really paid off or not for me though. 

 

This is a good point, I thought AM60's had a little bit more in them, though. External tho :(

TheDukeJ #11 Posted Feb 14 2017 - 22:39

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TheDukeJ #12 Posted Feb 17 2017 - 01:07

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TheDukeJ #13 Posted Feb 22 2017 - 01:27

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Updated 2/21/17

 



SweatshopKid #14 Posted Feb 22 2017 - 01:33

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View PostTheDukeJ, on Jan 25 2017 - 21:23, said:

My Fantasy Picks:

 

Good picks :^)

TheDukeJ #15 Posted Feb 22 2017 - 01:42

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View PostSweatshopKid, on Feb 22 2017 - 00:33, said:

 

Good picks :^)

 

This one is new: Thanks wot forums, gimme 15 to rewrite this whole thing.

ninjagumby #16 Posted Feb 22 2017 - 02:41

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Seems everyone was on the same page for picks tonight

 

EDIT: Hopefully Wally isn't on that page


Edited by ninjagumby, Feb 22 2017 - 02:42.


TheDukeJ #17 Posted Feb 24 2017 - 00:56

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Updated for 2/23/17

 



TheDukeJ #18 Posted Feb 28 2017 - 22:51

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Updated 2/28/17

 



ninjagumby #19 Posted Mar 01 2017 - 00:55

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Looks like we are on the same page for toinght.

TheDukeJ #20 Posted Mar 01 2017 - 01:27

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View Postninjagumby, on Feb 28 2017 - 23:55, said:

Looks like we are on the same page for toinght.

 

Sure are





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