Pipinghot, on Jan 06 2019 - 11:37, said:

1) That can happen in any game.

2) You're not really using statistics, you're just describing your feelings and then falsely typing the word "statistically" in your sentence. Nothing you've said has any statistical validity.

No. Still not statistics, you're just describing your feelings, and your feelings are misleading you.

This is nothing new, it's how the game has always worked. For some reason you're noticing the more, but this game has always has more blowouts than most other games, and that's specifically because it's single-death-per-battle. SDPB is what causes blowouts, and it always has, there's nothing at all new about this. You're having a problem with confirmation bias.

So you haven't learned how to be good at this vehicle yet, that's neither a mystery nor a big deal. Slow vehicles have more trouble influencing battles which, again, has *always* been true. Mobility and flexing are a big deal, and that tank doesn't have them.

The data says that your feelings are incorrect. Battles are slightly shorter than they were when the game was new, in 2011, but that change happened a long time ago, when autoloaders were introduced.

No, there is no more imbalance in the game than there ever has been. You're just suffering from being burned out about the game and it's affecting your judgement.

That's still not statistics, it's just your feelings and wishful thinking. Strings of wins and losses should happen, you really need to stop thinking that anything you're saying is related to statistics, it's all just your feelings. One of the major reasons for real statistics needing to exist is that feelings cannot be trusted on many issues, and this is one of them.

No. You're suffering from burnout and misunderstanding how statistics and win/loss streaks really work.

No. Just no. You need to take a break, everything you're saying is nothing more than good old fashioned confirmation bias, having nothing at all to do with what's really happening.

If the game is less fun then you should play something else, that's just a normal, healthy decision. But don't think that you're confirmation bias, and your feelings resulting from burnout, have any relationship to statistics, because they don't. Take a break, have fun playing something else, and while you're doing it throw away your tinfoil hat and let go of nonsense like "RNG is being played around with", that's just silly.

I see you're pointing out that it's not statistics, it's in my head and that simply isn't true. I've sat here with pen and paper counting out the number of blow-out wins and losses with a variety of my tanks (I'm about 50% on most of them and have a high number of games in them, so I'm using good averages). At a 50% win rate in a tank with 800 games, you'd expect to win about 50% of your games. This is about a coin toss. Each toss independent of the previous and all that, I get it, I understand statistics and statistical modeling. Looking at from the perspective of 50/50 chance, I see long strings of wins and losses and it has happened a lot more than it should happen if games were truly random. Yes, you will have strings of wins and losses, that's not improbable. But to have multiple, consecutive strings of wins and losses, that becomes improbable and suspect for rigging. And I'm only counting strings of BLOWOUT wins and losses, not just every win/loss.

If you flip a coin, you expect to see this: H, T, H, H, T, T, H, T, T, T, H, T, H, H, T, T, T, H, H right?

When you flip a coin and you see this: H, H, H, H, H, T, T, T, T, T, H, T, T, T, T, H, T, H, T, H, H, H, H, H, T, T, T, T, T, T, H, T, H, H, T, T, T, H, H, H, H, H, H, T (that's my tracking btw) - you start to suspect something is seriously wrong with your coin.

The H/T do average out, but the string of H's and T's in a row -- that's very suspect. 1/32, 1/32, 1/2, 1/16, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2, 1/16, 1/64, 1/2, 1/2, 1/4, 1/8, 1/64, 1/2 So for 15 "strings" we see 1/64 come up three times, and 1/32 come up twice (which is a 1/1,024 chance)? And again, I only started tracking this AFTER I felt like it didn't seem probable. Yes, it can happen, I get that, but not likely and combined with errant or accurate shooting, I suspect RNG is being played with. Can I prove it? Probably if I really wanted to do a lot of sampling, but my gut tells me something is seriously broken in the game and the developers are messing with RNG to fix it or make sure you don't sit in the queue too long waiting for a game to start, or maybe they have done their own analysis and come to the conclusion that they get players to stay with the game longer and spend $'s if they give them strings of wins and losses. Who knows, but if I owned a company like this and the goal was to make $'s, then I'd be running all the analytics I could to figure out the best formula to keep players playing and spending $'s and if I had to mess with RNG to do it, I'd do it. Maybe they are testing a theory right now and causing this? Certainly they can do that, it's their game, and it's not illegal for them to mess with RNG as they do not owe payers (not players, payers is the correct term) any fair play. So my guess is they are experimenting with RNG to see how it impacts money flow.

Any game where there are more than 8 players on one team alive at game end is a blowout game per my definition. To have six games won/loss in a row and all of them being blowout games, that's fishy. Flipping heads six times in a row is 1/64 chance. Now to have a string like that repeat after a break of 5-6 games three times? I don't know the odds of that but it's pretty frigging high. That's when I decided something was wrong. At first it was a perception, then I started tracking it, then I concluded there's a problem and I offered a reason I suspected it was happening due to RNG tampering. Yes, you get frustrated and emotional, but I'm in my 50's and I am able to disconnect that from that and deal with the facts. I did not track errant shots, but I certainly started becoming aware of a perception of more/less accuracy or more/less penning during blowout wins and losses. I actually started predicting mentally after my first 2-3 shots, based on accuracy that this would be another blowout win/loss.