NeatoMan, on Jun 04 2019 - 15:21, said:
Here's the data filtered for only the blowout games. If it's a blowout it seems that the favored team over performs the expected win chances
WHAAAAAAAT?!?!?!??! But, but, but, but, but, I thought it was IMPOSSIBLE to 'overperform' statistical predictions?!?!?!?
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So in the 10% bracket, there were 36 battles and they won (1) of them - dam that sounds really fun, not.
So in the 15% bracket, there were 20 battles and they won (2) of them - dam that sounds really fun, not.
So in the 20% bracket, there were 34 battles and they won (2) of them - dam that sounds really fun, not.
So in the 25% bracket, there were 49 battles and they won (2) of them - dam that sounds really fun, not.
So in the 30% bracket, there were 68 battles and they won (12) of them - dam that sounds really fun, not.
So the above listed battle count is 207 battles, and they won (19) of them - dam that sounds really fun, not - especially when you consider these represent 18% of all battles.
That's pretty much every 5th battle is a crap battle.
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Yeah, but "I can't really tell the difference when playing these losses". Who gives a crap. THEY ARE GUARANTEED LOSSES. Whether a snowflake can tell the difference or not is irrelevant. It's like living in a city without flouridated water. You can't tell your not drinking flouridated water, but after enough time your teeth rot out. Just because you can't 'tell the difference' doesn't mean you aren't playing in battles WHERE YOU ARE GUARANTEED TO LOSE. You know I couldn't tell I was eating 'pink slime' at taco bell either, but once I found out it was in there, I sure as hell stopped eating it. (google 'pink slime', images, and see if you ever eat there again...)
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I would break out the battles above 70% but I think you all can see it would be a mirror image. Tons of battles, with almost no losses, sounds really boring, it is really boring. And that's another 18-20% of all your battles.
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Neato keeps posting all these data sets and they keep showing the same thing. Ranom MM makes 20% of all your battles guaranteed losses. Random MM makes 20% of all your battles guaranteed wins. Guaranteed losses suck and should not be in the game. Guaranteed wins are boring and shoud not be in the game. Using skill Balanced mm would eliminate these outlier battles, thus eliminated both guaranteed losses/wins. AND WOULDN'T CHANGE A DAM THING ABOUT THE MAJORITY OF BALANCED BATTLES YOU ARE ALREADY PLAYING, except it would make 100% of your battles balanced.